Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000119 0.000132 0.000145 0.000160 0.000177 0.000196 0.000218
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000109 0.000128 0.000153 0.000183 0.000218 0.000264
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000098 0.000122 0.000154 0.000195 0.000247 0.000318
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000091 0.000118 0.000156 0.000207 0.000276 0.000377
2025-07-27 0.000062 0.000084 0.000113 0.000155 0.000215 0.000299 0.000427
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000079 0.000110 0.000157 0.000226 0.000328 0.000490
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000074 0.000106 0.000155 0.000231 0.000346 0.000539
2025-08-17 0.000047 0.000069 0.000102 0.000153 0.000236 0.000366 0.000592
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000065 0.000097 0.000150 0.000238 0.000381 0.000638
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000060 0.000092 0.000146 0.000237 0.000389 0.000675
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000058 0.000090 0.000146 0.000243 0.000412 0.000738
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000056 0.000089 0.000148 0.000253 0.000441 0.000817
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000052 0.000085 0.000145 0.000254 0.000455 0.000871
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000139 0.000249 0.000458 0.000905
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000078 0.000139 0.000257 0.000486 0.000995
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000267 0.000521 0.001105
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000140 0.000272 0.000544 0.001193
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000142 0.000283 0.000582 0.001320
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000140 0.000285 0.000601 0.001407
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000139 0.000289 0.000623 0.001504
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000136 0.000289 0.000639 0.001586
2025-11-23 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000132 0.000285 0.000644 0.001642
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000033 0.000064 0.000132 0.000291 0.000674 0.001771